Kickoff is Saturday at 4:15 pm ET, and our Tennessee vs Arkansas prediction for the SEC game leans Tennessee -13.5 at DraftKings, as listed Thursday 8 October. More games sit in our sports betting hub.
How We Picked This Game
We weigh the closing lines, the AP rank and record of each team, availability, home and travel, and the weather. Prices come from DraftKings via ESPN with the time we read them. Some of the links on this page pay us when you sign up with a Tennessee-licensed operator. You must be 21+ and in Tennessee to bet.
| The game | Details |
|---|---|
| Kickoff | Saturday 10 October, 4:15 pm ET (3:15 pm CT) |
| Channel | SEC Network |
| Venue | Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium, Fayetteville, AR |
| Rank and record | Tennessee 4-1, No. 15 in the AP poll; Arkansas 2-3, unranked |
| Spread and total | Tennessee -13.5, total 51.5 (DraftKings via ESPN, 8 October, 4:14 am ET) |
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Our Tennessee vs Arkansas Pick
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Tennessee -13.5 (-110) at DraftKings, as listed via ESPN on Thursday 8 October at 4:14 am ET.
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Predicted score: Tennessee 33, Arkansas 17. Confidence: medium.
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Tennessee vs Arkansas Prediction and Our Pick for the Vols
We have the Tennessee Volunteers winning 33-17 in Fayetteville, a 16 point margin that clears the number. Tennessee scores 36.8 points a game and allows 15.2, while Arkansas scores 19.8 and allows 28.4, so the gap between the two is wider than 13.5 points.
The Spread Pick, Tennessee -13.5 at -110
Tennessee -13.5 at -110, as listed by DraftKings via ESPN on Thursday 8 October at 4:14 am ET. Tennessee’s average margin this season is plus 21.6 points over five games, and Arkansas’s is minus 8.6. Five games is a small sample, so we rate the pick medium.
The Total Pick, Under 51.5 at -112
Under 51.5 at -112, as listed by DraftKings via ESPN on Thursday 8 October at 4:14 am ET. Blending each offense with the other defense gives roughly 33 points for Tennessee and 17 for Arkansas, so our projection is 50, just under the line. This is the thinner of the two picks. Tennessee has run for 240.6 yards a game, which keeps the clock moving.
Three Best Bets for the Vols Matchup
Here are three plays for the game based on our projected score.
| Bet | Price and book | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Tennessee -13.5 | -110, DraftKings via ESPN, 8 October, 4:14 am ET | We project a 16 point margin that covers the number. |
| Under 51.5 | -112, DraftKings via ESPN, 8 October, 4:14 am ET | Our projected score of 50 points stays just under the total. |
| Tennessee moneyline | -550, DraftKings via ESPN, 8 October, 4:14 am ET | The Vols should win this game outright on the road. |
Spread, Total and Moneyline Across the Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | Tennessee -13.5 (-110) | 51.5 (over -108, under -112) |
| Book | Moneyline | Opening spread |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | Tennessee -550, Arkansas +410 | Tennessee -14 (-110) |
Prices as listed by DraftKings via ESPN on Thursday 8 October at 4:14 am ET. Our public data source lists one book for this game, so check your own app for the number before you bet.
How the Number Has Moved
The spread has shortened by half a point, from Tennessee -14 at the open to -13.5. The total rose two points, from 49.5 to 51.5, and Tennessee’s moneyline moved from -650 to -550 while Arkansas went from +470 to +410. The market has made Arkansas a little more live without changing who is favored.
Volunteers Form Over the Last Three Games
Tennessee Over Three Games
Tennessee beat Kennesaw State 42-9 on 19 September, lost to Texas 17-20 on 26 September, and beat Auburn 24-14 on 3 October. The Texas loss is the only blemish, and the Vols have not scored fewer than 17 points in any game. They are 4-1 with a 36.8 points per game average.
Arkansas Over Three Games
Arkansas lost 17-45 to Georgia on 19 September, beat Tulsa 34-6 on 26 September and lost 7-34 at Texas A&M on 3 October. The defense has allowed 28.4 points a game.
The teams met twice in the data we read. Tennessee won 34-31 at Neyland Stadium on 11 October 2025, and Arkansas won 19-14 at home on 5 October 2024.
Matchups That Decide It
Tennessee With the Ball
Tennessee runs for 5.3 yards per carry and 240.6 yards a game. DeSean Bishop has 540 rushing yards and seven touchdowns, and Faizon Brandon leads the passing game with 697 yards, seven touchdowns and one interception. ESPN gives no yards allowed for Arkansas, so we judge the matchup on points allowed, 28.4 a game.
Arkansas With the Ball
KJ Jackson has thrown for 1,038 yards with six touchdowns and four interceptions, and Chris Marshall has 549 receiving yards. Arkansas averages 2.8 yards per carry and has taken 14 sacks in five games, while Tennessee has 23 sacks as a team, led by Xavier Gilliam with four.
Kicking Game and the Sideline
Tennessee is perfect on field goals this season, at 100.0 percent, and Arkansas is at 77.8 percent. Both teams come off 7 days of rest, so neither has a rest edge.
What Tennessee Allows on a College Game
Yes, you can bet on a college game in Tennessee, and the Tennessee Volunteers are no exception. Bets on a college game are limited to the pre-game spread, total and moneyline, so there are no player props and no in-game or period markets on this one. You must be 21 or older and in Tennessee, and the rules come from the Tennessee Sports Wagering Council. Help is free at TN REDLINE 1-800-889-9789.
Rankings and the SEC Race
ESPN’s rankings, read Thursday 8 October, put Tennessee 15th in the AP poll and 14th in the Coaches Poll. Arkansas is unranked in both. Tennessee has beaten Auburn and lost to Texas in the SEC games in our data, while Arkansas lost to Georgia and Texas A&M. Standings are on SECsports.com, and a win here helps the Vols but does not decide anything on its own.
At the Stadium, on the Road and in the Forecast
Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium in Fayetteville has an artificial playing surface. Fayetteville is on Central Time, so the 4:15 pm ET kickoff is 3:15 pm CT, and Tennessee is the road team.
Forecast for Kickoff
ESPN’s game page listed 88 degrees, wind gusts of 13 mph and no precipitation when we read it on Thursday 8 October. That is two days out, so check the National Weather Service on Saturday morning.
Our Top Parlay for the Game
| Leg | Price |
|---|---|
| Tennessee -13.5 | -110 |
| Under 51.5 | -112 |
We pair the spread and the total because our projected score of 33 and 17 fits both outcomes. A strong rushing game keeps the clock moving, which supports the under while securing a win by more than 13.5 points.
Each sportsbook prices the combined ticket itself based on correlated legs. We quote no combined price here, so check your preferred app to see what the parlay pays before you bet.
Critical Battles on the Field
Vols Rushing Attack Meets Arkansas Defense
Tennessee runs the ball well and averages 240.6 rushing yards a game with 5.3 yards per carry. DeSean Bishop powers the ground game with 540 rushing yards and seven touchdowns over five games. Arkansas allows 28.4 points a game this season. This rushing attack keeps the clock moving and helps the offense control the pace.
Arkansas Passing Game Against the Pass Rush
Arkansas relies on KJ Jackson, who has thrown for 1,038 yards with six touchdowns and four interceptions. Chris Marshall helps the passing game with 549 receiving yards. The Razorbacks have taken 14 sacks in five games. They face a defense with 23 sacks, led by Xavier Gilliam with four, which makes it a tough test.
Health Check, Portal Arrivals and the Depth Chart
College football has no league injury report. We have not read a status for either team yet, and the school game-week notes and head coach press conferences are where availability shows up. We update this section when they are out, and we recheck the pick before kickoff.
Tennessee Availability
Faizon Brandon leads Tennessee in passing yards, but we have not seen the athletics department confirm a starter. A quarterback change would move our pick.
Arkansas Availability
KJ Jackson leads Arkansas in passing yards, with the same caveat: no starter has been confirmed in what we read.
Volunteers Betting Trends Against the Number
The numbers that matter are small samples, all from five games. Tennessee has won four of five outright and Arkansas is 2-3. At home Arkansas is 2-1 and on the road 0-2; Tennessee’s one road game was a 45-24 win at Georgia Tech. We have no sourced record against the spread, so we leave one out.
TV, Streaming and the Vol Network Radio Call
The game is on SEC Network at 4:15 pm ET, and the Vol Network carries the radio call for Tennessee fans.
Where to Watch Tennessee vs Arkansas
Tune in to SEC Network at 3:15 pm CT, or 4:15 pm ET, on Saturday 10 October.
Tennessee Sportsbooks for Tennessee vs Arkansas
Every book below is on our Tennessee toplist, and the lines in this article come from DraftKings. See all current terms on our Tennessee sportsbook promos page.
DraftKings
DraftKings is where our spread, total and moneyline come from, so start here to match the numbers on this page. Read the offer terms on the DraftKings promo page before you sign up.
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FanDuel
FanDuel is worth opening to check whether its Tennessee spread sits on 13.5 or a different number, since half points matter on a game this size. Terms are on the FanDuel promo page.
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BetMGM
BetMGM gives you a second price to hold against DraftKings on the total and the moneyline, and a gap of a point or two on the total could change the under. Terms are on the BetMGM promo page.
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Caesars
Caesars is a fourth place to compare the Tennessee spread before kickoff, and the book with the best number is the one to use. See its offer on the Caesars promo page.
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The Last Word on Tennessee vs Arkansas
Our pick is Tennessee -13.5 at -110 at DraftKings, as listed via ESPN on Thursday 8 October at 4:14 am ET, with a 33-17 projection. A change at quarterback, a move of a point or more on the spread, or a very windy forecast would send us back to the numbers. Unlike the pro game on our Titans page, a college game has no official injury report to settle it.
What Went Into This Pick
The sources are ESPN’s public data on schedule, team statistics, rankings and the game page, plus the DraftKings lines listed by ESPN, all read on Thursday 8 October between 4:14 am and 4:15 am ET.
Play Within Your Limits
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Our Final Call for the Vols
Our final prediction is Tennessee -13.5 at -110, as listed by DraftKings via ESPN on Thursday 8 October at 4:14 am ET. We project a final score of 33 and 17 in Fayetteville, which gives the Vols a 16 point margin to cover the spread.
Responsible Gambling in Tennessee
Our picks are opinions backed by numbers, never a sure thing, so decide what you can afford before kickoff. Licensed apps offer deposit limits, time-outs and self-exclusion. If betting stops being fun, call the Tennessee REDLINE on 1-800-889-9789, available 24/7.
Frequently Asked Questions About Tennessee vs Arkansas
Which team is the favorite in Tennessee vs Arkansas?
Tennessee is the favorite at -13.5 with DraftKings, as listed via ESPN on Thursday 8 October at 4:14 am ET. The line opened at Tennessee -14.
What does our Tennessee vs Arkansas prediction say?
We pick Tennessee -13.5 at -110 and project a 33-17 win, with medium confidence. We lean under 51.5 on the total, which is the thinner call.
What price are the books putting on Tennessee?
DraftKings lists Tennessee at -550 on the moneyline and -110 on the -13.5 spread, as read on Thursday 8 October at 4:14 am ET.
What price are the books putting on Arkansas?
DraftKings lists Arkansas at +410 on the moneyline and -110 on the +13.5 spread, as read on Thursday 8 October at 4:14 am ET.
Is Tennessee or Arkansas the better team this season?
Tennessee is 4-1 and ranked 15th in the AP poll, while Arkansas is 2-3 and unranked. Tennessee’s scoring margin is plus 21.6 points a game, Arkansas’s minus 8.6.
What time does Tennessee vs Arkansas kick off and what channel carries it?
Kickoff is Saturday 10 October at 4:15 pm ET, which is 3:15 pm CT in Fayetteville. The game is on SEC Network.
Is it legal to bet on Tennessee vs Arkansas from inside Tennessee?
Yes, on the pre-game spread, total and moneyline, if you are 21+ and in Tennessee. Player props and in-game markets are not allowed on college games.
Where is Tennessee vs Arkansas being played?
At Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium in Fayetteville, Arkansas, on an artificial surface. Arkansas is the home team and Tennessee is on the road.